David Baron vs Jim Miller

October 17, 2008

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

950
(-50)
David Baron
Winner: Jim Miller
Submission
Round 3 • 3:19

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

David Baron-50
Jim Miller+53
1053
(+53)
Jim Miller

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
David Baron: -21Jim Miller: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BaronJim Miller
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
David Baron: -21Jim Miller: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BaronJim Miller
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
David Baron: -42Jim Miller: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BaronJim Miller
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish3:193:19
Win Type ELO9581 063
ELO Change-42+63
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:19, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. David Baron was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
David Baron: -42Jim Miller: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BaronJim Miller
Significant Strikes Landed715
Significant Strikes Attempted1628
Total Strikes Landed2246
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9581 042
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller edged the striking exchanges with 46 vs 22 total strikes, 15 vs 7 significant strikes, 53.6% vs 43.8% accuracy. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
David Baron: -209Jim Miller: +209

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BaronJim Miller
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted16
Ground Control Time0:5510:45
Ground Strikes Landed011
Ground ELO7911 209
ELO Change-209+209
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller dominated David Baron on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 10:45 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
David Baron: -21Jim Miller: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BaronJim Miller
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while David Baron's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
David Baron: -21Jim Miller: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BaronJim Miller
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Baron is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
David Baron: -21Jim Miller: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BaronJim Miller
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.