February 29, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Bielkheden | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Diego Sanchez's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diego Sanchez for the expected result. Had David Bielkheden pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | David Bielkheden | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Bielkheden | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:43 | 4:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 985 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +31 |
Diego Sanchez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | David Bielkheden | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 953 | 1 285 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Diego Sanchez controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 11 total strikes, 24 vs 1 significant strikes, 48.0% vs 100.0% accuracy. Diego Sanchez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Bielkheden | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 973 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Diego Sanchez controlled David Bielkheden on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:30 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | David Bielkheden | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +17 |
Diego Sanchez demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while David Bielkheden's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Bielkheden | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +15 |
Diego Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Bielkheden is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Bielkheden | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.