David Branch vs Gerald Harris

July 2, 2010

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

972
(-28)
David Branch
Winner: Gerald Harris
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:35

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

David Branch-28
Gerald Harris+35
1117
(+35)
Gerald Harris

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -27Gerald Harris: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchGerald Harris
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9731 078
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Gerald Harris's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gerald Harris for the expected result. Had David Branch pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -19Gerald Harris: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchGerald Harris
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 060
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -25Gerald Harris: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchGerald Harris
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:352:35
Win Type ELO9751 202
ELO Change-25+49
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What Happened

Gerald Harris gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -30Gerald Harris: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchGerald Harris
Significant Strikes Landed2010
Significant Strikes Attempted3937
Total Strikes Landed4011
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9701 193
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

David Branch controlled the striking through superior volume (40 vs 11 total strikes), significant strike advantage (20 vs 10), superior accuracy (51.3% vs 27.0%). However, since David Branch lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gerald Harris's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -71Gerald Harris: +71

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchGerald Harris
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted25
Ground Control Time1:284:48
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO9291 148
ELO Change-71+71
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What Happened

Gerald Harris dominated David Branch on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 4:48 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -16Gerald Harris: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchGerald Harris
Days Since Last FightN/A94
Activity ELO9841 121
ELO Change-16+41
💡

What Happened

Gerald Harris demonstrated solid activity levels with 94 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gerald Harris capitalized on this activity level, while David Branch's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -18Gerald Harris: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchGerald Harris
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9821 071
ELO Change-18+24
💡

What Happened

Gerald Harris extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Branch is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -19Gerald Harris: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchGerald Harris
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 060
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.