November 2, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Branch | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +43 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | David Branch | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Branch | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:39 | 0:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 185 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +123 |
Jared Cannonier gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | David Branch | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 076 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -179 | +179 |
Jared Cannonier controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 10 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jared Cannonier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Branch | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:59 | 0:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 213 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Jared Cannonier landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | David Branch | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 122 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +50 |
Jared Cannonier demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jared Cannonier capitalized on this activity level, while David Branch's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Branch | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 040 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Jared Cannonier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Branch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Branch | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.