May 12, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Branch | Krzysztof Jotko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 081 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -44 |
David Branch overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Krzysztof Jotko.
| Metric | David Branch | Krzysztof Jotko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Branch | Krzysztof Jotko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 081 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with David Branch receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | David Branch | Krzysztof Jotko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 122 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 129 | 1 285 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
David Branch controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 49 total strikes, 39 vs 28 significant strikes. David Branch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Branch | Krzysztof Jotko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:12 | 0:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 226 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
David Branch controlled Krzysztof Jotko on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 5:12 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | David Branch | Krzysztof Jotko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 2 263 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 129 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -26 |
David Branch demonstrated extended layoff with 2263 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, David Branch capitalized on this activity level, while Krzysztof Jotko's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Branch | Krzysztof Jotko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
David Branch started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Krzysztof Jotko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Branch | Krzysztof Jotko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 033 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.