David Branch vs Rousimar Palhares

March 2, 2011

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1054
(-26)
David Branch
Winner: Rousimar Palhares
Submission
Round 2 • 1:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

David Branch-26
Rousimar Palhares+29
1131
(+29)
Rousimar Palhares

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -27Rousimar Palhares: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchRousimar Palhares
Total UFC Fights47
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 0291 133
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Rousimar Palhares's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rousimar Palhares for the expected result. Had David Branch pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -20Rousimar Palhares: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchRousimar Palhares
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0081 066
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -26Rousimar Palhares: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchRousimar Palhares
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:441:44
Win Type ELO1 0641 273
ELO Change-26+40
💡

What Happened

Rousimar Palhares earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:44, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. David Branch was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -24Rousimar Palhares: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchRousimar Palhares
Significant Strikes Landed62
Significant Strikes Attempted233
Total Strikes Landed174
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0721 077
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

David Branch controlled the striking through superior accuracy (26.1% vs 66.7%). However, since David Branch lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rousimar Palhares's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -45Rousimar Palhares: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchRousimar Palhares
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time3:190:26
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 1311 200
ELO Change-45+45
💡

What Happened

Rousimar Palhares edged out David Branch on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:26 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -22Rousimar Palhares: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchRousimar Palhares
Days Since Last Fight89170
Activity ELO1 1061 156
ELO Change-22+38
💡

What Happened

Rousimar Palhares demonstrated solid activity levels with 170 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rousimar Palhares capitalized on this activity level, while David Branch's 89-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -20Rousimar Palhares: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchRousimar Palhares
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0171 082
ELO Change-20+22
💡

What Happened

Rousimar Palhares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Branch is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
David Branch: -20Rousimar Palhares: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid BranchRousimar Palhares
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0071 063
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.