September 18, 2020
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Dvorak | Jordan Espinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -29 |
David Dvorak overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jordan Espinosa.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Jordan Espinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Jordan Espinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 081 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
David Dvorak earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Jordan Espinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 68 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 146 | 162 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 061 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
David Dvorak controlled the striking exchanges with 68 vs 50 significant strikes, 46.6% vs 30.9% accuracy. David Dvorak capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Jordan Espinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 042 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Jordan Espinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 048 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
David Dvorak demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, David Dvorak capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Espinosa's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Jordan Espinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
David Dvorak extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Espinosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Jordan Espinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.