David Dvorak vs Juancamilo Ronderos

May 21, 2021

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1085
(+27)
David Dvorak
Winner: David Dvorak
Submission
Round 1 • 2:18

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

David Dvorak+27
Juancamilo Ronderos-23
977
(-23)
Juancamilo Ronderos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
David Dvorak: +23Juancamilo Ronderos: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid DvorakJuancamilo Ronderos
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 123977
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

David Dvorak's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding David Dvorak for the expected result. Had Juancamilo Ronderos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
David Dvorak: +19Juancamilo Ronderos: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid DvorakJuancamilo Ronderos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 060981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
David Dvorak: +57Juancamilo Ronderos: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid DvorakJuancamilo Ronderos
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:182:18
Win Type ELO1 138968
ELO Change+57-32
💡

What Happened

David Dvorak earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
David Dvorak: +17Juancamilo Ronderos: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid DvorakJuancamilo Ronderos
Significant Strikes Landed911
Significant Strikes Attempted2832
Total Strikes Landed912
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 078983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Juancamilo Ronderos lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. David Dvorak's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
David Dvorak: +38Juancamilo Ronderos: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid DvorakJuancamilo Ronderos
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:230:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 080962
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
David Dvorak: +23Juancamilo Ronderos: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid DvorakJuancamilo Ronderos
Days Since Last Fight245N/A
Activity ELO1 071982
ELO Change+23-18
💡

What Happened

David Dvorak demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, David Dvorak capitalized on this activity level, while Juancamilo Ronderos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
David Dvorak: +24Juancamilo Ronderos: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid DvorakJuancamilo Ronderos
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 071982
ELO Change+24-18
💡

What Happened

David Dvorak extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Juancamilo Ronderos is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
David Dvorak: +19Juancamilo Ronderos: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid DvorakJuancamilo Ronderos
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 060981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.