December 16, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Dvorak | Manel Kape |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Manel Kape |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Manel Kape |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 061 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Manel Kape earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Manel Kape |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 003 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Manel Kape controlled the striking exchanges with 58 vs 33 significant strikes, 48.7% vs 35.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Manel Kape capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Manel Kape |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:42 | 0:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 035 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Manel Kape landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Manel Kape |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 378 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Manel Kape demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Manel Kape capitalized on this activity level, while David Dvorak's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Manel Kape |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Manel Kape extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Dvorak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Manel Kape |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.