June 9, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Dvorak | Steve Erceg |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Steve Erceg overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran David Dvorak.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Steve Erceg |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Steve Erceg |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Steve Erceg earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Steve Erceg |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 114 | 140 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Steve Erceg slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Steve Erceg capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Steve Erceg |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:57 | 1:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 991 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Steve Erceg edged out David Dvorak on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 1:29 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Steve Erceg |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Steve Erceg demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Steve Erceg capitalized on this activity level, while David Dvorak's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Steve Erceg |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Steve Erceg started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Dvorak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Dvorak | Steve Erceg |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.