David Heath vs Lyoto Machida

April 20, 2007

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1026
(-40)
David Heath
Winner: Lyoto Machida
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

David Heath-40
Lyoto Machida+46
1095
(+46)
Lyoto Machida

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -30Lyoto Machida: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathLyoto Machida
Total UFC Fights32
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 0211 103
ELO Change-30+32
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -22Lyoto Machida: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathLyoto Machida
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0191 043
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -46Lyoto Machida: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathLyoto Machida
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0361 093
ELO Change-46+46
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What Happened

Lyoto Machida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -87Lyoto Machida: +87

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathLyoto Machida
Significant Strikes Landed867
Significant Strikes Attempted46101
Total Strikes Landed2080
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9641 184
ELO Change-87+87
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What Happened

Lyoto Machida dominated the striking exchanges with 80 vs 20 total strikes, 67 vs 8 significant strikes, 66.3% vs 17.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lyoto Machida capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -67Lyoto Machida: +67

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathLyoto Machida
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:002:37
Ground Strikes Landed018
Ground ELO1 0741 153
ELO Change-67+67
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What Happened

Lyoto Machida controlled David Heath on the ground with 2:37 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -24Lyoto Machida: +71

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathLyoto Machida
Days Since Last Fight12977
Activity ELO1 0461 094
ELO Change-24+71
💡

What Happened

Lyoto Machida demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Lyoto Machida capitalized on this activity level, while David Heath's 129-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -22Lyoto Machida: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathLyoto Machida
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0251 050
ELO Change-22+27
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What Happened

Lyoto Machida extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Heath is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -22Lyoto Machida: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathLyoto Machida
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0191 043
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.