David Heath vs Renato Sobral

August 24, 2007

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

988
(-38)
David Heath
Winner: Renato Sobral
Submission
Round 2 • 3:30

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

David Heath-38
Renato Sobral+41
1112
(+41)
Renato Sobral

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -26Renato Sobral: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathRenato Sobral
Total UFC Fights410
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9951 109
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Renato Sobral's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Renato Sobral for the expected result. Had David Heath pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -19Renato Sobral: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathRenato Sobral
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0001 063
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -30Renato Sobral: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathRenato Sobral
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:303:30
Win Type ELO1 0061 187
ELO Change-30+46
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What Happened

Renato Sobral earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:30, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. David Heath was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -70Renato Sobral: +70

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathRenato Sobral
Significant Strikes Landed660
Significant Strikes Attempted1195
Total Strikes Landed33126
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8941 036
ELO Change-70+70
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What Happened

Renato Sobral dominated the striking exchanges with 126 vs 33 total strikes, 60 vs 6 significant strikes, 63.2% vs 54.5% accuracy. Renato Sobral capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -99Renato Sobral: +99

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathRenato Sobral
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time2:245:03
Ground Strikes Landed557
Ground ELO9751 263
ELO Change-99+99
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What Happened

Renato Sobral dominated David Heath on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:03 of control time, 57 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -19Renato Sobral: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathRenato Sobral
Days Since Last Fight126175
Activity ELO1 0271 117
ELO Change-19+33
💡

What Happened

Renato Sobral demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Renato Sobral capitalized on this activity level, while David Heath's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -19Renato Sobral: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathRenato Sobral
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0061 073
ELO Change-19+21
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What Happened

Renato Sobral started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Heath is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
David Heath: -20Renato Sobral: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid HeathRenato Sobral
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9991 051
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.