February 1, 2008
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Heath | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 925 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Tim Boetsch overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran David Heath.
| Metric | David Heath | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Heath | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:52 | 4:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 963 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +92 |
Tim Boetsch earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | David Heath | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 822 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Tim Boetsch controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 7 total strikes, 42 vs 7 significant strikes, 70.0% vs 22.6% accuracy. Tim Boetsch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Heath | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 920 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | David Heath | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Tim Boetsch demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tim Boetsch capitalized on this activity level, while David Heath's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Heath | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tim Boetsch started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Heath is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Heath | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.