December 12, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Heath | Victor Valimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | David Heath | Victor Valimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Heath | Victor Valimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with David Heath receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | David Heath | Victor Valimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 209 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 051 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Victor Valimaki controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (83 vs 48 total strikes), significant strike advantage (66 vs 44). However, since Victor Valimaki lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. David Heath's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | David Heath | Victor Valimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 141 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
David Heath did not secure a significant ground advantage against Victor Valimaki on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | David Heath | Victor Valimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 110 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -20 |
David Heath demonstrated solid activity levels with 110 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, David Heath capitalized on this activity level, while Victor Valimaki's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Heath | Victor Valimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
David Heath extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Victor Valimaki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Heath | Victor Valimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.