April 20, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Lee | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 957 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | David Lee | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Lee | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:55 | 1:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 916 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +66 |
Junior Assuncao earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:55, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. David Lee was submitted.
| Metric | David Lee | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 875 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Junior Assuncao controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 23 total strikes, 29 vs 12 significant strikes, 59.2% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Junior Assuncao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Lee | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 5:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 785 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -154 | +154 |
Junior Assuncao dominated David Lee on the ground with 5:08 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | David Lee | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Junior Assuncao demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Junior Assuncao capitalized on this activity level, while David Lee's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Lee | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Junior Assuncao started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Lee | Junior Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

