February 4, 2005
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Loiseau | Gideon Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
David Loiseau's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding David Loiseau for the expected result. Had Gideon Ray pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | David Loiseau | Gideon Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Loiseau | Gideon Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 086 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
David Loiseau earned an early finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 1 at 5:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | David Loiseau | Gideon Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 111 | 904 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -96 |
David Loiseau dominated the striking exchanges with 17 vs 11 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. David Loiseau capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Loiseau | Gideon Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:39 | 0:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 047 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
David Loiseau landed 2 knockdowns followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | David Loiseau | Gideon Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 499 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
David Loiseau demonstrated extended layoff with 499 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, David Loiseau capitalized on this activity level, while Gideon Ray's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Loiseau | Gideon Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
David Loiseau started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gideon Ray is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Loiseau | Gideon Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

