April 24, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Michaud | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | David Michaud | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Michaud | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:35 | 1:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 984 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +58 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:35, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. David Michaud was submitted.
| Metric | David Michaud | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 903 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier dominated the striking exchanges with 82 vs 22 total strikes, 49 vs 17 significant strikes, 57.0% vs 32.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Olivier Aubin-Mercier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Michaud | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 15 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 6:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 883 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier dominated David Michaud on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:15 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | David Michaud | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Olivier Aubin-Mercier capitalized on this activity level, while David Michaud's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Michaud | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Michaud is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Michaud | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.