January 25, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Mitchell | Simeon Thoresen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 994 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Simeon Thoresen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Simeon Thoresen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 993 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
David Mitchell earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Simeon Thoresen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 60 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 159 | 115 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 987 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
David Mitchell dominated the striking exchanges with 121 vs 52 total strikes, 60 vs 49 significant strikes. David Mitchell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Simeon Thoresen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:02 | 3:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 943 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
David Mitchell controlled Simeon Thoresen on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:02 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Simeon Thoresen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 519 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -23 |
David Mitchell demonstrated extended layoff with 519 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, David Mitchell capitalized on this activity level, while Simeon Thoresen's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Simeon Thoresen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
David Mitchell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Simeon Thoresen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Simeon Thoresen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.