David Mitchell vs TJ Waldburger

September 14, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

964
(-36)
David Mitchell
Winner: TJ Waldburger
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

David Mitchell-36
TJ Waldburger+36
1036
(+36)
TJ Waldburger

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
David Mitchell: -21TJ Waldburger: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid MitchellTJ Waldburger
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
David Mitchell: -21TJ Waldburger: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid MitchellTJ Waldburger
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
David Mitchell: -42TJ Waldburger: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid MitchellTJ Waldburger
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9581 042
ELO Change-42+42
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What Happened

TJ Waldburger earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
David Mitchell: -40TJ Waldburger: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid MitchellTJ Waldburger
Significant Strikes Landed1337
Significant Strikes Attempted1858
Total Strikes Landed5069
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9601 040
ELO Change-40+40
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What Happened

TJ Waldburger controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 13 significant strikes, 63.8% vs 72.2% accuracy. TJ Waldburger capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
David Mitchell: -101TJ Waldburger: +101

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid MitchellTJ Waldburger
Takedowns Landed26
Takedowns Attempted37
Ground Control Time1:3510:52
Ground Strikes Landed631
Ground ELO8991 101
ELO Change-101+101
💡

What Happened

TJ Waldburger dominated David Mitchell on the ground with 6 vs 2 takedowns, 10:52 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
David Mitchell: -21TJ Waldburger: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid MitchellTJ Waldburger
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

TJ Waldburger demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, TJ Waldburger capitalized on this activity level, while David Mitchell's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
David Mitchell: -21TJ Waldburger: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid MitchellTJ Waldburger
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

TJ Waldburger started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Mitchell is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
David Mitchell: -21TJ Waldburger: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDavid MitchellTJ Waldburger
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.