October 8, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Mitchell | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 911 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Yan Cabral overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran David Mitchell.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 951 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 942 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Yan Cabral earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 898 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Yan Cabral controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 5 significant strikes, 52.9% vs 22.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yan Cabral capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:07 | 12:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 849 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Yan Cabral dominated David Mitchell on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 12:09 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 95 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 960 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Yan Cabral demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Yan Cabral capitalized on this activity level, while David Mitchell's 95-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 956 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Yan Cabral started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Mitchell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Mitchell | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 951 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.