October 22, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Onama | Mason Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Mason Jones's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mason Jones for the expected result. Had David Onama pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | David Onama | Mason Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Onama | Mason Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Mason Jones earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | David Onama | Mason Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 90 | 87 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 153 | 157 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since David Onama lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Mason Jones's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | David Onama | Mason Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 9:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 876 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -124 | +124 |
Mason Jones dominated David Onama on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 9:01 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | David Onama | Mason Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +44 |
Mason Jones demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mason Jones capitalized on this activity level, while David Onama's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Onama | Mason Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Mason Jones started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Onama is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Onama | Mason Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

