November 16, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Onama | Roberto Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 123 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
David Onama's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding David Onama for the expected result. Had Roberto Romero pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | David Onama | Roberto Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Onama | Roberto Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 245 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
David Onama earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | David Onama | Roberto Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 121 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 213 | 155 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 145 | 79 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 188 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
David Onama dominated the striking exchanges with 145 vs 79 total strikes, 121 vs 74 significant strikes, 56.8% vs 47.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. David Onama capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Onama | Roberto Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:23 | 1:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 148 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
David Onama controlled Roberto Romero on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:23 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | David Onama | Roberto Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 110 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
David Onama demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, David Onama capitalized on this activity level, while Roberto Romero's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Onama | Roberto Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -17 |
David Onama extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roberto Romero is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Onama | Roberto Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

