February 4, 2005
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Terrell | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 072 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Evan Tanner's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Evan Tanner for the expected result. Had David Terrell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | David Terrell | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 011 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +47 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Evan Tanner captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | David Terrell | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:35 | 4:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 172 | 1 387 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +58 |
Evan Tanner earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | David Terrell | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 119 | 1 317 |
| ELO Change | -133 | +133 |
Evan Tanner dominated the striking exchanges with 62 vs 4 total strikes, 19 vs 4 significant strikes, 67.9% vs 44.4% accuracy. Evan Tanner capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Terrell | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 3:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 1 058 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Evan Tanner controlled David Terrell on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:09 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | David Terrell | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 107 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +26 |
Evan Tanner demonstrated solid activity levels with 107 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Evan Tanner capitalized on this activity level, while David Terrell's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Terrell | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 016 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +20 |
Evan Tanner extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Terrell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Terrell | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.