April 14, 2006
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Terrell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 097 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
David Terrell's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding David Terrell for the expected result. Had Scott Smith pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | David Terrell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Terrell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:08 | 3:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 210 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -23 |
David Terrell earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | David Terrell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 159 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
David Terrell edged the striking exchanges with 10 vs 3 significant strikes, 71.4% vs 50.0% accuracy. David Terrell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Terrell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:15 | 1:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 140 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
David Terrell dominated Scott Smith on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:15 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | David Terrell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 434 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -20 |
David Terrell demonstrated extended layoff with 434 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, David Terrell capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Smith's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Terrell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
David Terrell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Terrell | Scott Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.