August 5, 2016
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Teymur | Jason Novelli |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | David Teymur | Jason Novelli |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Teymur | Jason Novelli |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:25 | 1:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 151 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -32 |
David Teymur gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | David Teymur | Jason Novelli |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 190 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
David Teymur controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 8 significant strikes, 42.6% vs 28.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. David Teymur capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Teymur | Jason Novelli |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | David Teymur | Jason Novelli |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
David Teymur demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, David Teymur capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Novelli's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Teymur | Jason Novelli |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
David Teymur extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Novelli is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Teymur | Jason Novelli |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

