January 15, 2021
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Zawada | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Ramazan Emeev's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ramazan Emeev for the expected result. Had David Zawada pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | David Zawada | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 972 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Zawada | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 047 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ramazan Emeev receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | David Zawada | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 114 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 114 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 939 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Ramazan Emeev edged the striking exchanges with 53 vs 44 significant strikes, 52.5% vs 38.6% accuracy. Ramazan Emeev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Zawada | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:06 | 4:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 936 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Ramazan Emeev controlled David Zawada on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 4:28 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | David Zawada | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 434 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +25 |
Ramazan Emeev demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ramazan Emeev capitalized on this activity level, while David Zawada's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Zawada | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 976 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Ramazan Emeev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Zawada is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Zawada | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 972 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

