April 22, 2022
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dean Barry | Mike Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Mike Jackson's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Jackson for the expected result. Had Dean Barry pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dean Barry | Mike Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dean Barry | Mike Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:52 | 3:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 988 | 970 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The fight concluded with Mike Jackson earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | Dean Barry | Mike Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 976 | 972 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Dean Barry controlled the striking through superior volume (39 vs 18 total strikes), significant strike advantage (36 vs 18), 1 knockdown. However, since Dean Barry lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mike Jackson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dean Barry | Mike Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 973 | 921 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Dean Barry | Mike Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 1 414 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +20 |
Mike Jackson demonstrated extended layoff with 1414 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mike Jackson capitalized on this activity level, while Dean Barry's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dean Barry | Mike Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Mike Jackson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dean Barry is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dean Barry | Mike Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

