April 22, 2016
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 296 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Demetrious Johnson's 9-fight experience advantage (14 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demetrious Johnson for the expected result. Had Henry Cejudo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 382 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -7 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Demetrious Johnson captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:49 | 2:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 457 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -14 |
Demetrious Johnson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 484 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Demetrious Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 8 total strikes, 21 vs 6 significant strikes, 63.6% vs 35.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 0:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 532 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
Demetrious Johnson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Henry Cejudo on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:16 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 347 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -12 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Henry Cejudo's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 10 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 376 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -9 |
Demetrious Johnson extended his incredible 10-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Henry Cejudo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 204 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.