August 3, 2018
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 294 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +67 |
Henry Cejudo overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Demetrious Johnson.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 389 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +109 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Henry Cejudo captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 491 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Henry Cejudo receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 81 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 147 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 480 | 1 284 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Demetrious Johnson controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (121 vs 80 total strikes), significant strike advantage (81 vs 51), superior accuracy (60.4% vs 34.7%). However, since Demetrious Johnson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Henry Cejudo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 4:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 556 | 1 414 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
Henry Cejudo controlled Demetrious Johnson on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 4:38 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 359 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +38 |
Henry Cejudo demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Henry Cejudo capitalized on this activity level, while Demetrious Johnson's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 446 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +48 |
Henry Cejudo extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Demetrious Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 208 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.