June 7, 2012
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ian McCall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Demetrious Johnson's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demetrious Johnson for the expected result. Had Ian McCall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ian McCall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ian McCall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 074 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Demetrious Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ian McCall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 90 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 153 | 132 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 105 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 103 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Demetrious Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 90 vs 57 significant strikes, 58.8% vs 43.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ian McCall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:03 | 3:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Demetrious Johnson edged out Ian McCall on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:03 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ian McCall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 093 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -18 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Ian McCall's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ian McCall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Demetrious Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ian McCall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ian McCall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

