January 25, 2013
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 119 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Demetrious Johnson's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demetrious Johnson for the expected result. Had John Dodson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 162 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -18 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Demetrious Johnson captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 141 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Demetrious Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 127 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 247 | 156 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 181 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 200 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated the striking exchanges with 181 vs 71 total strikes, 127 vs 57 significant strikes, 51.4% vs 36.5% accuracy. Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:45 | 2:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 215 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Demetrious Johnson controlled John Dodson on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 5:45 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 114 |
| Activity ELO | 1 179 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -18 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while John Dodson's 114-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Demetrious Johnson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Dodson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.