September 21, 2012
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 088 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Demetrious Johnson's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demetrious Johnson for the expected result. Had Joseph Benavidez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 108 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -22 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Demetrious Johnson captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 087 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Demetrious Johnson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 77 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 156 | 250 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 145 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Demetrious Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 53 total strikes, 77 vs 44 significant strikes, 49.4% vs 17.6% accuracy. Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:20 | 3:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 145 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Demetrious Johnson controlled Joseph Benavidez on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 2:20 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 1 144 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -20 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Joseph Benavidez's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Demetrious Johnson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joseph Benavidez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.