April 24, 2015
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 251 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Demetrious Johnson's 7-fight experience advantage (12 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demetrious Johnson for the expected result. Had Kyoji Horiguchi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 335 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -9 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Demetrious Johnson captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 404 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Demetrious Johnson earned a finish with a Submission in round 5 at 4:59, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kyoji Horiguchi was submitted.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 121 | 91 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 149 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 419 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated the striking exchanges with 149 vs 61 total strikes, 66 vs 31 significant strikes, 54.5% vs 34.1% accuracy. Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 14 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 22 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 13:43 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 514 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated Kyoji Horiguchi on the ground with 14 vs 1 takedowns, 13:43 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 310 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -11 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Kyoji Horiguchi's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 284 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -12 |
Demetrious Johnson continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Kyoji Horiguchi's now at 0.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 172 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.