October 6, 2017
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 336 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Demetrious Johnson's 9-fight experience advantage (17 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demetrious Johnson for the expected result. Had Ray Borg pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 425 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -5 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Demetrious Johnson captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 3:15 | 3:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 508 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -14 |
Demetrious Johnson earned a finish with a Submission in round 5 at 3:15, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ray Borg was submitted.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 172 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 514 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated the striking exchanges with 172 vs 22 total strikes, 64 vs 13 significant strikes, 79.0% vs 44.8% accuracy. Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 8 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 17:49 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 38 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 669 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated Ray Borg on the ground with 8 vs 3 takedowns, 17:49 of control time, 38 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 389 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -10 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Ray Borg's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 13 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 483 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -5 |
Demetrious Johnson extended his incredible 13-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Ray Borg is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 237 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.