December 2, 2016
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 304 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Demetrious Johnson's 8-fight experience advantage (15 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demetrious Johnson for the expected result. Had Tim Elliott pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 392 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -3 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Demetrious Johnson captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 462 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
Demetrious Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 487 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
Tim Elliott controlled the striking through superior volume (110 vs 86 total strikes). However, since Tim Elliott lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Demetrious Johnson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 16:38 | 3:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 541 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated Tim Elliott on the ground with 5 vs 4 takedowns, 16:38 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 658 |
| Activity ELO | 1 353 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -5 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Elliott's 658-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 11 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 399 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -4 |
Demetrious Johnson extended his incredible 11-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Tim Elliott is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 212 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.