April 14, 2017
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 322 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Demetrious Johnson's 7-fight experience advantage (16 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demetrious Johnson for the expected result. Had Wilson Reis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 410 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -6 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Demetrious Johnson captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:49 | 4:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 487 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -17 |
Demetrious Johnson earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:49, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Wilson Reis was submitted.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 108 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 186 | 168 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 135 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 498 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated the striking exchanges with 135 vs 18 total strikes, 108 vs 16 significant strikes, 58.1% vs 9.5% accuracy. Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:19 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 586 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated Wilson Reis on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:19 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 372 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -10 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Wilson Reis's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 12 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 444 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -6 |
Demetrious Johnson extended his incredible 12-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Wilson Reis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demetrious Johnson | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 225 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.