July 6, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 184 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Demian Maia's 5-fight experience advantage (14 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demian Maia for the expected result. Had Dong Hyun Kim pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 109 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:47 | 0:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 353 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -36 |
Demian Maia secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:47 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 229 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Dong Hyun Kim controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (8 vs 1). However, since Dong Hyun Kim lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Demian Maia's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 228 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Demian Maia did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dong Hyun Kim on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:41 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 266 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -16 |
Demian Maia demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Dong Hyun Kim's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 144 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Demian Maia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dong Hyun Kim is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.