April 18, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -28 |
Demian Maia overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ed Herman.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:27 | 2:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 144 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -50 |
Demian Maia earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:27, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ed Herman was submitted.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 057 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Ed Herman controlled the striking through superior accuracy (46.9% vs 71.4%). However, since Ed Herman lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Demian Maia's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:04 | 3:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 142 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Demian Maia controlled Ed Herman on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:04 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 051 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Demian Maia demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Ed Herman's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Demian Maia extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ed Herman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.