Demian Maia vs Gilbert Burns

March 13, 2020

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1305
(-51)
Demian Maia
Winner: Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:34

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Demian Maia-51
Gilbert Burns+71
1315
(+71)
Gilbert Burns

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: -40Gilbert Burns: +88

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaGilbert Burns
Total UFC Fights3214
Experience Gap18-18
Experience ELO1 2661 297
ELO Change-40+88
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns overcame a 18-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 32 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Demian Maia.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: -25Gilbert Burns: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaGilbert Burns
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1691 153
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: -57Gilbert Burns: +128

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaGilbert Burns
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:342:34
Win Type ELO1 4301 485
ELO Change-57+128
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: -164Gilbert Burns: +164

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaGilbert Burns
Significant Strikes Landed413
Significant Strikes Attempted716
Total Strikes Landed414
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2431 425
ELO Change-164+164
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 81.3% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: -38Gilbert Burns: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaGilbert Burns
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time1:230:04
Ground Strikes Landed08
Ground ELO1 5091 438
ELO Change-38+38
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: -28Gilbert Burns: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaGilbert Burns
Days Since Last Fight141169
Activity ELO1 3981 352
ELO Change-28+49
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Demian Maia's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: -28Gilbert Burns: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaGilbert Burns
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO1 2631 217
ELO Change-28+54
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Demian Maia's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: -24Gilbert Burns: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaGilbert Burns
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1621 152
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.