March 13, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 32 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 18 | -18 |
| Experience ELO | 1 266 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +88 |
Gilbert Burns overcame a 18-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 32 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Demian Maia.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 169 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:34 | 2:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 430 | 1 485 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +128 |
Gilbert Burns earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 243 | 1 425 |
| ELO Change | -164 | +164 |
Gilbert Burns controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 81.3% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:23 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 509 | 1 438 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Gilbert Burns landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 398 | 1 352 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +49 |
Gilbert Burns demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Demian Maia's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 263 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +54 |
Gilbert Burns continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Demian Maia's now at 0.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 162 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

