October 8, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 209 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +71 |
Jake Shields overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Demian Maia.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 126 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 425 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jake Shields receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 262 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Jake Shields edged the striking exchanges with 35 vs 24 significant strikes. Jake Shields capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:19 | 11:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 422 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Jake Shields controlled Demian Maia on the ground with 1 takedown, 11:43 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 249 | 116 |
| Activity ELO | 1 337 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +89 |
Jake Shields demonstrated solid activity levels with 116 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Shields capitalized on this activity level, while Demian Maia's 249-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 176 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +36 |
Jake Shields extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Demian Maia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jake Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 121 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.