August 8, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -32 |
Demian Maia overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jason MacDonald.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:44 | 2:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 219 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -50 |
Demian Maia earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:44, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jason MacDonald was submitted.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 103 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 122 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Demian Maia dominated the striking exchanges with 103 vs 36 total strikes, 30 vs 7 significant strikes. Demian Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:19 | 5:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 269 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +127 | -127 |
Demian Maia dominated Jason MacDonald on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:19 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 118 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -27 |
Demian Maia demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Jason MacDonald's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Demian Maia extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason MacDonald is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.