May 12, 2017
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 25 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 344 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Demian Maia's 11-fight experience advantage (25 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demian Maia for the expected result. Had Jorge Masvidal pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 220 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 590 | 1 519 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Demian Maia receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 545 | 1 537 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jorge Masvidal controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (39 vs 23). However, since Jorge Masvidal lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Demian Maia's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:53 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 1 681 | 1 334 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Demian Maia controlled Jorge Masvidal on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:53 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 471 | 1 450 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Demian Maia demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Masvidal's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 338 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -13 |
Demian Maia continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jorge Masvidal's now at 0.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 216 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

