Demian Maia vs Jorge Masvidal

May 12, 2017

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1426
(+23)
Demian Maia
Winner: Demian Maia
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Demian Maia+23
Jorge Masvidal-19
1302
(-19)
Jorge Masvidal

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +27Jorge Masvidal: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaJorge Masvidal
Total UFC Fights2514
Experience Gap11-11
Experience ELO1 3441 239
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Demian Maia's 11-fight experience advantage (25 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demian Maia for the expected result. Had Jorge Masvidal pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +16Jorge Masvidal: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaJorge Masvidal
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 2201 099
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +9Jorge Masvidal: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaJorge Masvidal
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 5901 519
ELO Change+9-9
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Demian Maia receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +27Jorge Masvidal: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaJorge Masvidal
Significant Strikes Landed2339
Significant Strikes Attempted3863
Total Strikes Landed6755
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 5451 537
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Jorge Masvidal controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (39 vs 23). However, since Jorge Masvidal lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Demian Maia's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +18Jorge Masvidal: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaJorge Masvidal
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted120
Ground Control Time8:530:53
Ground Strikes Landed1518
Ground ELO1 6811 334
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Demian Maia controlled Jorge Masvidal on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:53 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +29Jorge Masvidal: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaJorge Masvidal
Days Since Last Fight259105
Activity ELO1 4711 450
ELO Change+29-23
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What Happened

Demian Maia demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Masvidal's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +37Jorge Masvidal: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaJorge Masvidal
Win Streak70
Win Streak ELO1 3381 146
ELO Change+37-13
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What Happened

Demian Maia continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jorge Masvidal's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +16Jorge Masvidal: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaJorge Masvidal
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 2161 095
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.