October 7, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 185 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Demian Maia's 7-fight experience advantage (12 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demian Maia for the expected result. Had Jorge Santiago pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 112 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 313 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Demian Maia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 213 | 843 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Demian Maia dominated the striking exchanges with 95 vs 29 total strikes, 24 vs 18 significant strikes. Demian Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:13 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 276 | 877 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Demian Maia dominated Jorge Santiago on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 9:13 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 267 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -7 |
Demian Maia demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Santiago's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 146 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -12 |
Demian Maia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Santiago is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Jorge Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 105 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.