May 18, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 28 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 239 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +83 |
Kamaru Usman overcame a 20-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 28 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Demian Maia.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 151 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 425 | 1 419 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Kamaru Usman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 209 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 351 | 1 482 |
| ELO Change | -92 | +92 |
Kamaru Usman dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 33 total strikes, 66 vs 27 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kamaru Usman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:01 | 4:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 497 | 1 574 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Kamaru Usman landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 125 |
| Activity ELO | 1 377 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +61 |
Kamaru Usman demonstrated solid activity levels with 125 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kamaru Usman capitalized on this activity level, while Demian Maia's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 8 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 254 | 1 307 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +82 |
Kamaru Usman continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Demian Maia's now at 0.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Kamaru Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 142 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.