August 27, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Mario Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 182 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Demian Maia's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demian Maia for the expected result. Had Mario Miranda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Mario Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 105 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Mario Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 322 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Demian Maia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Mario Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 49 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 221 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Demian Maia dominated the striking exchanges with 104 vs 29 total strikes, 30 vs 14 significant strikes, 61.2% vs 34.1% accuracy. Demian Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Mario Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:52 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 346 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Demian Maia dominated Mario Miranda on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 9:52 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Mario Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -13 |
Demian Maia demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Mario Miranda's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Mario Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 138 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -14 |
Demian Maia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mario Miranda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Mario Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 097 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

