Demian Maia vs Neil Magny

July 31, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1323
(+48)
Demian Maia
Winner: Demian Maia
Submission
Round 2 • 2:52

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Demian Maia+48
Neil Magny-42
1198
(-42)
Neil Magny

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +26Neil Magny: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaNeil Magny
Total UFC Fights2111
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 2501 135
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Demian Maia's 10-fight experience advantage (21 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demian Maia for the expected result. Had Neil Magny pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +20Neil Magny: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaNeil Magny
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1571 097
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +51Neil Magny: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaNeil Magny
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:522:52
Win Type ELO1 4551 292
ELO Change+51-33
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What Happened

Demian Maia earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Neil Magny was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +102Neil Magny: -102

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaNeil Magny
Significant Strikes Landed130
Significant Strikes Attempted174
Total Strikes Landed5611
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3921 244
ELO Change+102-102
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What Happened

Demian Maia controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 11 total strikes, 13 vs 0 significant strikes, 76.5% vs 0.0% accuracy. Demian Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +91Neil Magny: -91

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaNeil Magny
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time7:270:02
Ground Strikes Landed130
Ground ELO1 5801 235
ELO Change+91-91
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia dominated Neil Magny on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:27 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +41Neil Magny: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaNeil Magny
Days Since Last Fight13377
Activity ELO1 3781 305
ELO Change+41-20
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +28Neil Magny: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaNeil Magny
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 2161 179
ELO Change+28-22
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What Happened

Demian Maia extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Magny is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +20Neil Magny: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaNeil Magny
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1531 097
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.