July 31, 2015
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 250 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Demian Maia's 10-fight experience advantage (21 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demian Maia for the expected result. Had Neil Magny pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 157 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:52 | 2:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 455 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -33 |
Demian Maia earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Neil Magny was submitted.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 392 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -102 |
Demian Maia controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 11 total strikes, 13 vs 0 significant strikes, 76.5% vs 0.0% accuracy. Demian Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:27 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 580 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
Demian Maia dominated Neil Magny on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:27 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 378 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -20 |
Demian Maia demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 216 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Demian Maia extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Magny is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 153 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

