February 21, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Demian Maia | Rory MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 177 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +51 |
Rory MacDonald overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Demian Maia.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Rory MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 103 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Rory MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 376 | 1 419 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Rory MacDonald earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Rory MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 213 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 236 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Rory MacDonald controlled the striking exchanges with 75 vs 51 significant strikes. Rory MacDonald capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Rory MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 22 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:01 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 396 | 1 363 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Rory MacDonald did not secure a significant ground advantage against Demian Maia on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Rory MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 137 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 307 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +76 |
Rory MacDonald demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rory MacDonald capitalized on this activity level, while Demian Maia's 137-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Rory MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 153 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Rory MacDonald started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Demian Maia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Demian Maia | Rory MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 099 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.