Demian Maia vs Ryan Jensen

October 19, 2007

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1039
(+39)
Demian Maia
Winner: Demian Maia
Submission
Round 1 • 2:40

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Demian Maia+39
Ryan Jensen-35
941
(-35)
Ryan Jensen

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +60Ryan Jensen: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaRyan Jensen
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 060912
ELO Change+60-60
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +20Ryan Jensen: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaRyan Jensen
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 020960
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +67Ryan Jensen: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaRyan Jensen
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:402:40
Win Type ELO1 067930
ELO Change+67-38
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +31Ryan Jensen: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaRyan Jensen
Significant Strikes Landed32
Significant Strikes Attempted33
Total Strikes Landed96
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 031952
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 66.7% accuracy. Demian Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +68Ryan Jensen: -68

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaRyan Jensen
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time2:260:00
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO1 068891
ELO Change+68-68
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia controlled Ryan Jensen on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:26 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +20Ryan Jensen: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaRyan Jensen
Days Since Last FightN/A56
Activity ELO1 020964
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Jensen's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +22Ryan Jensen: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaRyan Jensen
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 022961
ELO Change+22-20
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Jensen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Demian Maia: +20Ryan Jensen: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDemian MaiaRyan Jensen
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020960
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.