June 12, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Denis Stojnic | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 953 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Denis Stojnic | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Denis Stojnic | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:37 | 2:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 938 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +66 |
Stefan Struve earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:37, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Denis Stojnic was submitted.
| Metric | Denis Stojnic | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 944 | 898 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Denis Stojnic controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (16 vs 4), superior accuracy (26.7% vs 66.7%). However, since Denis Stojnic lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Stefan Struve's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Denis Stojnic | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:48 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 917 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Stefan Struve edged out Denis Stojnic on the ground with 2:08 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Denis Stojnic | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 963 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Stefan Struve demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stefan Struve capitalized on this activity level, while Denis Stojnic's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Denis Stojnic | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Stefan Struve started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Denis Stojnic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Denis Stojnic | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

