February 3, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Denis Tiuliulin | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
JunYong Park's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding JunYong Park for the expected result. Had Denis Tiuliulin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Denis Tiuliulin | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Denis Tiuliulin | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:05 | 4:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +60 |
JunYong Park earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Denis Tiuliulin | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 993 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
JunYong Park controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 8 total strikes, 25 vs 8 significant strikes, 65.8% vs 36.4% accuracy. JunYong Park capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Denis Tiuliulin | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 854 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
JunYong Park dominated Denis Tiuliulin on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:58 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Denis Tiuliulin | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +40 |
JunYong Park demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, JunYong Park capitalized on this activity level, while Denis Tiuliulin's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Denis Tiuliulin | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
JunYong Park extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Denis Tiuliulin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Denis Tiuliulin | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.